Dall -3  It goes without saying that if Dallas loses tonight they might as well kiss the title goodbye because there is no way they can dig out of a 1-3 hole heading back to Miami for the final two games.  The Mavs did have a good chance to win game three but Wade was red hot from the perimeter and came up short at the end.  Dallas will continue to try to score in transition and when in the half court swing the ball to  the open man when they double on Dirk.  The Heat will continue to exploit match ups on offense and try to attack the basket and use their quickness to double Nowitske then cover the shooter on defense.   I look for this game to stay close until the fourth when Dallas pulls away with free throws.